With one day left until Election Day, political analysts and pundits are making their final predictions for the 2024 presidential election. According to distinguished American University professor Allan Lichtman, Harris is the favored candidate to win the presidency. Despite Lichtman's track record of correctly predicting presidential elections, other analysts, such as FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver, disagree and argue that Trump has a strong chance of being reelected. As the country waits with bated breath, the question remains: who will accurately predict the outcome of the 2024 election?
The 2024 US Presidential Election: Experts' Predictions and Analysis
With the 2024 US presidential election just one day away, political analysts and pundits are weighing in with their final predictions for this highly anticipated race.
Allan Lichtman's Prediction: Harris to Win
Distinguished American University professor Allan Lichtman, renowned for his accurate presidential election predictions, has declared Senator Kamala Harris as the favored candidate to win the presidency. Lichtman's predictive model, based on 13 key factors, has correctly forecasted every presidential election since 1984, including the surprising victories of Donald Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020.
Disagreeing Analysts: Trump Has a Strong Chance
However, other analysts disagree with Lichtman's assessment. Nate Silver, the founder of the highly respected data journalism website FiveThirtyEight, argues that former President Donald Trump has a strong chance of being reelected. Silver's analysis relies on polling data, historical trends, and his own modeling techniques.
Factors Influencing the Race
Several key factors are shaping the 2024 election:
Top 5 FAQs
1. Who are the major candidates in the 2024 election? Answer: President Joe Biden (Democratic incumbent), former President Donald Trump (Republican), and Senator Kamala Harris (Democratic).
2. What are the key issues in the election? Answer: Economy, social issues, healthcare, climate change, gun control.
3. Who is leading in the polls? Answer: Current polling data shows Harris with a slight lead over Trump.
4. What is Allan Lichtman's predictive model? Answer: Lichtman's model uses 13 key factors, including economic indicators, social unrest, and party control of the presidency, to predict election outcomes.
5. Has Allan Lichtman ever made an incorrect prediction? Answer: Yes, Lichtman incorrectly predicted a Trump win in the 2016 election.
The Rajya Sabha was thrown into chaos on Monday as BJP president JP Nadda accused Congress of being a "tool" of foreign forces and trying to destabilize India. In response, Leader of the Opposition Mallikarjun Kharge slammed the claims as lies and stated that his party is committed to upholding India's democratic values. The tensions between the two parties led to multiple adjournments in the Upper House, with Nadda demanding a discussion on links between Sonia Gandhi and the Soros-founded think tank.
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has released its second list of candidates for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections, signaling a strategic revamp in its approach. This includes replacing tickets for 15 sitting MLAs and introducing new faces, aimed at revitalizing the party's image and addressing evolving voter sentiments. The party has also strategically fielded candidates for BJP-held seats and embraced political lineage by nominating sons of sitting MLAs for two constituencies. This move reflects AAP's effort to reclaim key constituencies and secure a win in the upcoming elections.
The BJP has announced its candidates for the upcoming Rajya Sabha by-elections in Andhra Pradesh, Haryana, and Odisha, after the resignation of several members. The Election Commission has announced the polling date to be on December 20, with the results to be declared on the same day. The BJP has fielded Ryaga Krishnaiah from Andhra Pradesh, Rekha Sharma from Haryana, and Sujeet Kumar from Odisha, and will be facing opposition from other parties for the vacant seats.
The political turmoil in South Korea escalates as President Yoon Suk Yeol is named as a subject in a criminal investigation for his failed attempt to impose martial law. The President's former defense minister has been arrested, and his interior minister has resigned. Despite surviving an impeachment vote, President Yoon will be excluded from his duties before eventually stepping down, according to the leader of his own party. This has sparked condemnation from opposition lawmakers and led to thousands of people rallying for the President's impeachment and arrest. As the nation deals with the fallout, Prime Minister Han Duck-soo will manage affairs and prepare an exit plan for President Yoon, who will not be involved in any state affairs before his departure. This crisis threatens to damage South Korea's reputation as a democratic success story and has plunged the economy into uncertainty.
After a 10-day sprint across government-held territory, Syrian rebels have toppled 50 years of Assad family rule. Reports state that Assad has fled the country for an undisclosed location, with looting and celebrations breaking out in Damascus. The Prime Minister has called on citizens to protect public institutions as the country transitions to a new government.
After South Korea's ruling party walks out of the national assembly, a qualified vote on the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol fails due to lack of required votes. The opposition Democratic Party plans to propose a new impeachment bill on December 11, after Yeol's failed declaration of martial law and the ruling party's claim that he agreed to depart from office early. The failure to hold a qualified vote on this critical issue has raised concerns about the country's democratic process.
Delhi Congress chief Devender Yadav boldly states that the party will not form an alliance and will contest on all 70 seats in the upcoming Delhi Assembly polls. Yadav also criticizes both the AAP and BJP for their "misgovernance" and promises that the party will elect a leader after winning. Congress has appointed Priyavrat Singh as the "war room" chairman for the polls, as they aim to regain power after losing in the past two elections. Preparations have also begun for the BJP and AAP as they gear up for the highly competitive election.
During a pivotal technical discussion at the Ashtalakshmi Mahotsav, Sikkim Chief Minister CM Tamang emphasized the need for enhanced connectivity and infrastructure to unlock the North East's vast potential as a premier tourism destination. He also called for collaborative initiatives to address unique challenges and capitalize on strengths in order to contribute to a developed India. The discussion, which included dignitaries and stakeholders such as Union Minister for DoNER Shri Jyotiraditya Scindia, resulted in a shared commitment to transform the region into a hub of prosperity. In addition, CM Tamang praised the Symposium on Uniform Civil Code and made significant announcements at the Former Legislators Federation of Sikkim's 21st foundation day celebration.
Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Mohan Yadav announced the successful rehabilitation of Cheetahs which became extinct from Asia and India 100 years ago. As part of the Cheetah Project in Madhya Pradesh, two male Cheetahs, Agni and Vayu, have been released in the open forest area of Kuno National Park. This marks a major step towards the success of the project and is expected to boost tourism in the state. Additionally, Yadav also announced the approval of a new tiger reserve, making Madhya Pradesh the state with the highest number of tigers in India.
Akashdeep Gill, who was arrested for his role in the murder of NCP leader Baba Siddique, has disclosed important information during his interrogation, including his use of a labourer's mobile hotspot to avoid being tracked. The labourer, identified as Balwinder, has been crucial in helping the crime branch investigate the case. The former Maharashtra minister was killed outside his son's office building and the police have since arrested 25 suspects, but Akashdeep's mobile phone is still missing, which could hold crucial evidence in the case.